Enhancing optimization planning models for health human resources management with foresight
نویسندگان
چکیده
Achieving a balanced healthcare workforce requires health planners to adjust the supply of human resources (HHR). Mathematical programming models have been widely used assist such planning, but way uncertainty is usually considered in these entails methodological and practical issues often disregards radical yet plausible changes future. This study proposes new socio-technical methodology factor over future within mathematical modelling. The approach makes use foresight scenario planning concepts build tailor-made scenarios fit input parameters, which are then models. Health stakeholders experts engaged building process. Causal map modelling morphological analysis adopted digest experts’ information about give origin contrasting meaningful describing These adjusted validated by experts, who elicit their best quantitative estimates for coherent combinations parameters model under each scenario. sets fed obtain optimal solutions that can be interpreted light meaning proposed has applied case involving HHR Portugal, its scope far extends being especially suited addressing strategic policy problems sensitive parameters.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Omega
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['1873-5274', '0305-0483']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2020.102384